Australian political polling shows Labor’s declining support amid fuel crisis and Middle East war
Consensus Summary
Australian political polling reveals deep voter dissatisfaction with Anthony Albanese’s Labor government amid a fuel crisis and Middle East war, with Labor’s primary vote plummeting to 31% in Newspoll and 32% in Redbridge. One Nation’s support remains strong at 26-29%, while the Coalition’s vote continues to decline to record lows of 17-21%. Both polls show overwhelming disapproval (72%) of US military action against Iran, with 61% blaming US President Donald Trump for soaring fuel prices. Albanese’s approval rating has dropped sharply to -17, reflecting widespread frustration over cost-of-living pressures. While both sources agree on key trends, discrepancies exist in exact vote percentages and additional details like gender splits in war approval or preference flows. The government has responded by underwriting fuel imports and warning against hoarding, but voter sentiment remains heavily critical of both major parties and foreign policy decisions.
✓ Verified by 2+ sources
Key details reported by multiple sources:
- Anthony Albanese’s Labor government primary vote dropped to 31% in Newspoll (down from 36% in November 2023 and 34.6% at the May 2023 election).
- One Nation’s primary vote is at 26% in Newspoll and 29% in Redbridge poll (both sources report recent figures).
- The Coalition’s primary vote is at 21% in Newspoll and 17% in Redbridge poll (record low).
- 72% of voters disapprove of US military action against Iran, with 23% approving (reported by both sources).
- Anthony Albanese announced Australia will underwrite the purchase of additional fuel cargoes to address supply shortages.
- 61% of voters blame US President Donald Trump for the petrol price crisis, while 14% blame the Australian government (Redbridge poll).
- Anthony Albanese’s net approval rating is at -17 (57% dissatisfied, 39% satisfied) in Newspoll.
- Australia has denied receiving any formal request from the US for military support in the Strait of Hormuz.
Points of Difference
Details reported by only one source:
- Tanya Plibersek confirmed the government is considering a cut to fuel excise and new cost-of-living measures.
- Andrew Hastie (Liberal) called the US attack on Iran a ‘huge miscalculation’ and criticized economic fallout, citing personal ties to the US.
- Bunnings reported running out of jerry cans due to hoarding concerns, with Albanese warning against excessive fuel stockpiling.
- Albanese stated fuel security is a ‘personal responsibility’ and criticized Australians filling multiple jerry cans at once.
- The US attack on Iran is described as ‘holding the world economy to ransom’ by Andrew Hastie, linking it to supply chain pain.
- Redbridge poll shows Labor leads One Nation by 53% to 47% on a two-party preferred basis (not mentioned in Article 1).
- Redbridge poll shows Labor leads the Coalition by 55% to 45% under May election preference flows (not in Article 1).
- Donald Trump is specifically blamed by 61% of voters for the petrol price crisis (not detailed in Article 1).
- One Nation voters are most likely to support US military action against Iran compared to Liberal, Labor, and Greens voters (not in Article 1).
- Men are twice as likely to approve of US military action (30%) as women (16%) in Redbridge poll (not in Article 1).
- Angus Taylor’s net approval rating is 42% dissatisfied vs. 35% satisfied (vs. Albanese’s 57% dissatisfied).
Contradictions
Conflicting information between sources:
- Article 1 reports One Nation’s primary vote at 26% (slightly down from previous), while Article 2 reports it rising to 29% in Redbridge poll.
- Article 1 states Labor’s primary vote is 31% (down from 36%), but Article 2 reports Labor’s support as unchanged at 32% in Redbridge poll.
- Article 1 does not mention Labor leading One Nation by 53%-47% on two-party preferred, which Article 2 reports from Redbridge.
- Article 1 does not specify that 61% of voters blame Trump for the petrol crisis, only that the government is not solely blamed (14%).
- Article 1 quotes Andrew Hastie’s personal criticism of the US attack but does not mention the gender split in approval (30% men vs. 16% women) reported in Article 2.
Source Articles
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The Coalition’s popularity with voters has taken a turn for the worse as a cost of living crunch places immense pressure on voters....
Anthony Albanese smashed in latest Newspoll over fuel, war
As the Prime Minister prepares to discuss shock measures to address the fuel crisis, a new poll shows furious voters are turning on his government....