Pauline Hanson overtakes Albanese as preferred PM; One Nation surges in polls

Consensus Summary

A new Resolve Political Monitor poll shows Pauline Hanson has surged past Anthony Albanese as Australians’ preferred prime minister, with 33% support compared to Albanese’s 29% and Angus Taylor’s 16%. One Nation has overtaken both major parties in primary vote share, reaching 29% (up 5 points), while the Coalition has collapsed to a record low of 20%. Labor’s primary vote of 28% is its lowest since February 2025, reflecting voter backlash over budget changes to negative gearing, capital gains tax discounts, and trust tax rules. Support for these measures has plummeted, with opposition rising sharply, though over a third of voters remain undecided. Hanson’s appeal extends beyond traditional One Nation voters, attracting 29% of Australians born overseas and 24% of non-Anglo voters. The poll, conducted June 8–13 with 1,801 respondents, also highlights the high cost of living as the top concern for 47% of voters. Albanese’s performance rating remains poor (55% negative), while Taylor’s approval has slightly improved but remains weak. Analysts suggest Hanson’s rise reflects broader dissatisfaction with major parties, particularly over broken election promises and immigration policies.